Shane Goldmacher is a former reporter for Capitol Weekly. He is a graduate of UC Berkeley, where he served as editor of the Berkeley Political Review.

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  • National NAACP bucks CA chapter, backs tobacco tax initiative
  • NAACP's Huffman assailed for tobacco, telecom payments
  • Schwarzenegger targets the 'ElimiDate Voter'
  • Legislators tap Sacramento interests for campaign cash
  • New York developer's eminent-domain crusade comes to California
  • Schwarzenegger's election-year olive branches
  • Dems, Gov. tapped same spots for campaign cash
  • Schwarzenegger has a special interest in Capitol-area money
  • Schwarzenegger's million-dollar woman
  • The kings and queens of the California political quotation
  • All about Phil: Angelides is strategist in own campaign
  • "Women of the year" married to men of Legislature
  • With new law, chase for campaign cash becomes family affair
  • High school student gives governor $44,600
  • Going to interview with CTA? Be sure to look into the camera
  • David Crane: Arnold's other Democratic adviser
  • The rise of the blogs: How the GOP uses the Web to organize

  • 1A: 76.9-23.1
    1B: 61.3-38.7
    1C: 57.4-42.6
    1D: 56.6-43.4
    1E: 64-36
    83: 70.6-29.4
    84: 53.7-46.3
    85: 45.9-54.1
    86: 48-52
    87: 45.2-54.8
    88: 23-77
    89: 25.5-74.5
    90: 47.6-52.4

    U.S. Sen.
    Feinstein 59.7
    Mountjoy 34.9
    Schwarzenegger 55.8
    Angelides 39.2
    Lt. Gov
    Garamendi 49.5
    McClintock 44.9
    Atty. Gen.
    Brown 56.7
    Poochigian 37.9
    Sec. of state
    Bowen 48.5
    McPherson 44.7
    Lockyer 54.8
    Parrish 37
    Chiang 50.9
    Strickland 40.1
    Insur. Comm.
    Poizner 50.7
    Bustamante 38.9

    For complete election results click here.

    Angelides 48.2
    Westly 43.1
    Lt. Gov
    Garamendi 42.9
    Speier 39.3
    Figueroa 17.8
    Atty. Gen.
    Brown 63.2
    Delgadillo 36.8
    Sec. of state
    Bowen 61.1
    Ortiz 38.9
    Parrish 56.4
    Richman 43.6
    Democratic primary
    Chiang 53.4
    Dunn 46.6
    Republican primary
    Strickland 40.9
    Maldonado 36.9
    Insur. Comm.
    Bustamante 70.5
    Kraft 29.5
    Supt. of Schools
    O'Connell 52.5, avoids run-off

    For complete election results click here.

    73: 47.4-52.6
    74: 45-55
    75: 46.6-53.4
    76: 38-62
    77: 40.5-59.5
    78: 41.5-58.5
    79: 38.9-61.1
    80: 34.3-65.7

    For complete election results click here.

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    Friday, October 28, 2005

    PPIC by the Numbers

    Proposition 73: Parental Notification
    Yes: 42%
    No: 48%

    Proposition 74: Tenure
    Yes: 46%
    No: 48%

    Proposition 75: Union Dues
    Yes: 46%
    No: 46%

    Proposition 76: Budget Reform
    Yes: 30%
    No: 62%

    Proposition 77: Redistricting
    Yes: 36%
    No: 50%

    Governor Schwarzenegger
    33% approve
    58% disapprove

    California Legislature
    25% approve
    56% disapprove

    President Bush
    36% approve
    60% disapprove

    The Schwarzenegger campaign quasi-released some of their internal poll numbers yesterday to a gaggle of reporters, trying to answer questions the PPIC poll will raise before they were even raised. According to John McLaughlin, the governor's pollster, the governor is ahead on both 75 and 77, hitting the 50 percent mark on each.

    On 74, Todd Harris, the governor's spokesman, said that they were in "a pitched hand to hand, bayonet battle." Ok, we can pretend that clears that up. Also, the governor's campaign has not yet spent "a dime" on TV specificially targetted at teacher tenure. The push of that campaign has been the governor's education adviser Margaret Fortune talking to editorial boards.

    Even the eternally optimistic Schwarzenegger campaign sounded glum about Prop 76, the governor's spending initiative that, at one point looked to be the linchpin of his reform package. "No question we are the underdogs," said Harris.

    Schwarzenegger's campaign also said that 80 percent of voters, according to their numbers, intended to vote for what props they thought were best--irregardless of their feelings for the governor. That would be good for the campaign, presumably, because the governor's 33% approval rating is lower than everything he is pushing except Prop 76.

    But I have a feeling the governor's campaign doesn't believe that 80 percent number any more than I do. The election, after all, is the governor's. And he is the face and the money behind 74-77. The proof may be in the pudding: Today the campaign goes on the air with a quasi-mea culpa ad, in which the governor directly addresses the viewers for 30 seconds, saying, "I've had a lot to learn, and sometimes I learned the hard way...But my heart is in this, and I want to do right by you."

    The campaign would be unlikely to put the unpopular governor front and center--apologizing--if he was not a driver of voters.

    The best article on what polls mean and why they differ this election season is here. Also, Capitol Weekly broke down the wording of the governor's poll versus the public polls.

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