Shane Goldmacher is a former reporter for Capitol Weekly. He is a graduate of UC Berkeley, where he served as editor of the Berkeley Political Review.

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  • 1A: 76.9-23.1
    1B: 61.3-38.7
    1C: 57.4-42.6
    1D: 56.6-43.4
    1E: 64-36
    83: 70.6-29.4
    84: 53.7-46.3
    85: 45.9-54.1
    86: 48-52
    87: 45.2-54.8
    88: 23-77
    89: 25.5-74.5
    90: 47.6-52.4

    U.S. Sen.
    Feinstein 59.7
    Mountjoy 34.9
    Gov.
    Schwarzenegger 55.8
    Angelides 39.2
    Lt. Gov
    Garamendi 49.5
    McClintock 44.9
    Atty. Gen.
    Brown 56.7
    Poochigian 37.9
    Sec. of state
    Bowen 48.5
    McPherson 44.7
    Treasurer
    Lockyer 54.8
    Parrish 37
    Controller
    Chiang 50.9
    Strickland 40.1
    Insur. Comm.
    Poizner 50.7
    Bustamante 38.9

    For complete election results click here.


    Gov.
    Angelides 48.2
    Westly 43.1
    Lt. Gov
    Garamendi 42.9
    Speier 39.3
    Figueroa 17.8
    Atty. Gen.
    Brown 63.2
    Delgadillo 36.8
    Sec. of state
    Bowen 61.1
    Ortiz 38.9
    Treasurer
    Parrish 56.4
    Richman 43.6
    Controller
    Democratic primary
    Chiang 53.4
    Dunn 46.6
    Republican primary
    Strickland 40.9
    Maldonado 36.9
    Insur. Comm.
    Bustamante 70.5
    Kraft 29.5
    Supt. of Schools
    O'Connell 52.5, avoids run-off

    For complete election results click here.


    73: 47.4-52.6
    74: 45-55
    75: 46.6-53.4
    76: 38-62
    77: 40.5-59.5
    78: 41.5-58.5
    79: 38.9-61.1
    80: 34.3-65.7

    For complete election results click here.


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    Thursday, August 31, 2006

    About those PPIC numbers

    I just looked back at the PPIC numbers and they are a bit surprising. First off, the housing bond, which has been consistently trailing behind the rest of the package in other polling, leads the pack with a solid 57 percent. And the levee bond, which conventional wisdom has as the third most popular measure, is at 56 percent while transportation (50) and education (51) are lagging.

    Meanwhile Prop 84, which is essentially a water bond back by the environmental community--a very popular constituency in California-- has only 40 percent support.

    Comments on "About those PPIC numbers"

     

    Blogger Conservative Schooler said ... (5:57 PM) : 

    All of this struck me as well. I'm not sure this poll is very credible, although it does show why you should not give up if a single poll shows you down. All sorts of things can go wrong

     

    Anonymous EFSully said ... (9:41 AM) : 

    The Field Poll a month ago showed Prop. 84 with an 18 point lead (49 percent Yes, 31 pecent No) and the Housing bond losing by a few points. Since there have been no TV ads to anything to change the number you have to wonder which poll is accurate.

     

    Anonymous Anonymous said ... (7:57 AM) : 

    PPIC is very credible. I think like the previous poster said, it is more about who is campainging already. Most California voers are not wonks.

     

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