No Interest, No Voters?
| Over at HackNFlak Assemblyman Chuck DeVore makes an interesting point: if voters are disinterested in the special election--and the majority of those are Democrats--can Democrats get their people to the polls. It is an interesting point, but it seems as though hoping people hate the special election so much they won't vote is a small straw to grasp onto from the recent PPIC poll. After all, labor is highly motivated and will move people to the polls, as will the more conservative crowds. But the special does look to have a unique turnout, and any models of "likely voters" may prove inaccurate. In most elections, Prop 73., which treads onto abortion territory would be a major newsmaker. But not this year. Any thoughts on what groups will turn out the most voters? |
posted by Shane Goldmacher at 10:29 AM
Comments on "No Interest, No Voters?"
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Anonymous said ... (11:08 AM) :
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Anonymous said ... (1:55 PM) :
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Shane Goldmacher said ... (2:15 PM) :
post a commentno one is going to show up
The one problem in viewing the new PPIC poll as a barometer of potential passage of the governor-backed initiatives is that it doesn't appear to survey only "likely voters. It is a cross section of the population. I don't mean to be blunt - but who cares. If they aren't likley to vote, their opinion doesn't really tell the story.
If you read the actually poll, most of the questions are of "likely voters." But with an odd turnout expected, who really is a likely voter?