Shane Goldmacher is a former reporter for Capitol Weekly. He is a graduate of UC Berkeley, where he served as editor of the Berkeley Political Review.

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  • National NAACP bucks CA chapter, backs tobacco tax initiative
  • NAACP's Huffman assailed for tobacco, telecom payments
  • Schwarzenegger targets the 'ElimiDate Voter'
  • Legislators tap Sacramento interests for campaign cash
  • New York developer's eminent-domain crusade comes to California
  • Schwarzenegger's election-year olive branches
  • Dems, Gov. tapped same spots for campaign cash
  • Schwarzenegger has a special interest in Capitol-area money
  • Schwarzenegger's million-dollar woman
  • The kings and queens of the California political quotation
  • All about Phil: Angelides is strategist in own campaign
  • "Women of the year" married to men of Legislature
  • With new law, chase for campaign cash becomes family affair
  • High school student gives governor $44,600
  • Going to interview with CTA? Be sure to look into the camera
  • David Crane: Arnold's other Democratic adviser
  • The rise of the blogs: How the GOP uses the Web to organize

  • 1A: 76.9-23.1
    1B: 61.3-38.7
    1C: 57.4-42.6
    1D: 56.6-43.4
    1E: 64-36
    83: 70.6-29.4
    84: 53.7-46.3
    85: 45.9-54.1
    86: 48-52
    87: 45.2-54.8
    88: 23-77
    89: 25.5-74.5
    90: 47.6-52.4

    U.S. Sen.
    Feinstein 59.7
    Mountjoy 34.9
    Schwarzenegger 55.8
    Angelides 39.2
    Lt. Gov
    Garamendi 49.5
    McClintock 44.9
    Atty. Gen.
    Brown 56.7
    Poochigian 37.9
    Sec. of state
    Bowen 48.5
    McPherson 44.7
    Lockyer 54.8
    Parrish 37
    Chiang 50.9
    Strickland 40.1
    Insur. Comm.
    Poizner 50.7
    Bustamante 38.9

    For complete election results click here.

    Angelides 48.2
    Westly 43.1
    Lt. Gov
    Garamendi 42.9
    Speier 39.3
    Figueroa 17.8
    Atty. Gen.
    Brown 63.2
    Delgadillo 36.8
    Sec. of state
    Bowen 61.1
    Ortiz 38.9
    Parrish 56.4
    Richman 43.6
    Democratic primary
    Chiang 53.4
    Dunn 46.6
    Republican primary
    Strickland 40.9
    Maldonado 36.9
    Insur. Comm.
    Bustamante 70.5
    Kraft 29.5
    Supt. of Schools
    O'Connell 52.5, avoids run-off

    For complete election results click here.

    73: 47.4-52.6
    74: 45-55
    75: 46.6-53.4
    76: 38-62
    77: 40.5-59.5
    78: 41.5-58.5
    79: 38.9-61.1
    80: 34.3-65.7

    For complete election results click here.

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    Monday, December 12, 2005


    The Democrats

    There are two declared Democratic candidates for governor next year, State Controller Steve Westly and State Treasurer Phil Angelides. And though rumors have swirled that another Hollywood star (read: Warren Beatty or Rob Reiner) would throw their hat into the ring that seems increasingly unlikely. Reiner has officially declared that he is not running. And Beatty simply seems enamored with the media attention his gubernatorial trial balloon brings—and if he did run he would face an incredible uphill battle in terms of fundraising to compete with the well-heeled Angelides and Westly campaign (unless, that is, he dumped millions of his own into the race).

    So Angelides and Westly it is. The two campaigns were united to defeat the governor’s initiatives this November, but since have been trying to stake out territory with the Democratic primary electorate. Common wisdom is that Angelides is the more liberal of the two candidates. He has been an outspoken critic of Schwarzenegger since Day One, while Westly worked closely with the governor during his first 6 months in office.

    Both candidates would love to present themselves as “most likely to succeed” in the general election, but most polls have shown the two running within the margin of error of one another versus Schwarzenegger (with hefty amounts of undecideds).

    Angelides has already sown up the endorsements of many of the state’s recognizable Democratic names, including Dianne Feinstein, Nancy Pelosi, and Barbara Boxer. Angelides has showed signs that he will run on a platform that argues California is a “blue state,” and that he is the “bluest” of potential nominees.

    A few months back, Jeff Barker at the News and Review took a look at Anglides’ strategy of aligning Schwarzenegger with President Bush (“red staters”).

    It will be interesting to see how Angelides’ stance as an anti-debt budget hawk plays out. He has vehemently argued against increased borrowing (Westly, in contrast, campaigned with Schwarzenegger to pass a $15 billion bond in ealr 2004). And Angelides has vehemently opposed cuts to state programs. So with the state facing an ongoing, albeit slowly shrinking, structural deficit, that makes higher taxes Anglides’ somewhat unspoken recommendation to solve the imbalance.

    While Angelides appears to be campaigning for the more liberal elements of the Democratic primary , Westly is trying to carve out a niche in the center. In interviews he frequently describes himself as a “moderate” and a “pragmatist” dedicated to creative solutions, regardless of what part of the political spectrum generate them. Last week, he launched into a critic of Schwarzenegger on environmental issues. And he points to his record as an eBay executive, sometimes subtly, sometimes not, as evidence that he is a creative entrepreneur.

    Both campaigns have been reticent to openly criticize one another. It never looks good to sling mud first. Still, there have been subtle jabs

    Westly’s website lists the number of days since he made his personal income tax records open for public scrutiny dating back a decade—and he calls on Schwarzenegger and Angelides to do the same. When Susan Kennedy was hired by Schwarzenegger as his new chief of staff, the Westly campaign sent out this missive:

    "In what can only be seen as an embarrassing setback for Treasurer Phil Angelides’ campaign for Governor, Susan Kennedy – the woman he hired to serve as Executive Director of the CA Democratic Party when he was party chair, and one of his high profile backers – has jumped ship and become Governor Schwarzenegger’s Chief of Staff."

    Angelides’ camp quickly retorted that “Westly’s former chief operating officer, Vincent Brown, is now the Governor’s chief deputy finance director. He’ll join other Westly refugees already working for Schwarzenegger, including Westly’s former chief of staff Linda Adams.”

    But overall the gloves remain on in the primary bout.

    The Republicans

    In an unusual move, the Republican Party at the most recent convention endorsed Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger’s reelection bid many months before next June’s primary. But in recent weeks, in the wake of appointing former Gray Davis aide Susan Kennedy as chief of staff, some conservative activists have called on the party to rescind the early endorsement, most notably the California Republican Assembly.

    There are have been whispers that there may be a primary challenge from the right, and at least one analyst, Republican consultant Dan Schnur, has suggested that Schwarzenegger look at running as an independent.

    And while that may sound like bad news for Schwarzenegger, whose approval has dipped from the mid-60s in August of 2004 to the mid-30s, being challenged by the far-right of the Republican party may help him crawl back to the political center that helped launch him into the governorship in the 2003 recall.

    This was a tough year for the actor-turned-politician. He began as perhaps the most popular politician in the state outside of U.S. Sen. Dianne Feinstein, but called a special election pushing for four reform measures that never caught on. In early November, voters turned back every measure on the ballot, a clear indication (supported by the subsequent PPIC poll) that the electorate was unhappy with the $300 million boondoggle.

    Since, the governor has shown signs that he is taking a more centrist stand. Administration officials are reportedly working on introducing a $50 billion infrastructure bond, an expansion to children’s healthcare, cutting a deal on a hike of the minimum wage, and lowering allowable greenhouse gas emissions.

    In a state with a distinctive Democratic registration advantage, Schwarzenegger will need to win back Democratic voters that he lost in the special election (but won in the recall). It looks as though next year’s policy agenda is his attempt to do that.

    Though the governor’s approval ratings are sagging at all-time lows, history is on his side for his reelection. Dating back decades, almost every California incumbent governor has won their race for reelection.

    But as the governor tries to paddle toward the political center, he is being attacked from the right as caving to Democrats (even before he has officially rolled out those policies) and both the Angelides and Westly campaigns will soon hit full stride with a steady dose of Democratic criticism from the left.

    Candidate: Arnold Schwarzenegger
    Party: Republican
    Current Job: Governor
    Cash on Hand: S634,155.68 , as of June 30.
    Consultant: Mike Murphy
    Campaign website

    Candidate: Phil Angelides
    Party: Democrat
    Current Job: State Treasurer
    Cash on Hand: $15,210,838.57, as of June 30.
    Campaign website

    Candidate: Steve Westly
    Party: Democrat
    Current Job: State Controller
    Cash on Hand: $11,424,021.67, as of June 30.
    Consultant: Garry South
    Campaign website

    Candidate: Peter Camejo
    Party: Green
    Current Job: Financier, VP candidate with Ralph Nader in 2004, perennial gubernatorial candidate
    Cash on Hand: $0, no reports filed.

    Note: In totaling cash-on-hand, I have only used accounts that are limited by Prop 34 contribution limits so candidate-controller initiative committees (like the California Recovery Team [Schwarzenegger] and Standing up for California [Angelides] have not been included.

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